Faba Bank: The Fed will formulate policies in consideration of inflation risks. Economists at Faba Bank wrote that it may be difficult for Fed officials to formulate and discuss monetary policies "without being involved in the debate on President-elect Trump's potential economic policies". They expect FOMC to cut interest rates by 25 basis points next week, as reflected by the market. They added that Federal Reserve Chairman Powell "may use the press conference to provide options for further relaxing the suspension of monetary policy." They don't expect him to directly comment on Trump's policies, "but FOMC will formulate policies consistent with managing high inflation risks," economists said.Dow opened up 0.1%, S&P 500 rose 0.3%, Nasdaq rose 0.5%, Broadcom rose 18.7%, and Q4 AI revenue increased 220% year-on-year. Furniture retailer RH rose 15.8% and raised its performance forecast. EVgo rose by 9.0% and was supported by a loan of $1.25 billion from the US Department of Energy. Xpeng Motors fell 3.8% and was downgraded to "sell" by UBS.Analyst: Britain's economic contraction for the second consecutive month sounded the alarm. AJ Bell analyst Danni Hewson said in a report that one month's data can't tell the whole story, but when the British economy contracted for two consecutive months-just like September and October-it is worthy of attention. The last time the economy contracted for two consecutive months was during the first pandemic blockade in 2020. She said that the uncertainty before the government budget may lead individuals and businesses to avoid spending for fear of possible tax increases. Bars, restaurants and art industries were hit hard in October. Hewson said that such discretionary expenses can be easily cut. In addition, looking back over the past six months, except August, the economic activity in each month was flat or decreased.
ECB officials are expected to cut interest rates further. Villeroy supports the market view, and several ECB officials said that more interest rate cuts are coming. Francois Villeroy de Galhau, governor of the French central bank, said that investors' bets on a cumulative interest rate cut of more than 100 basis points seemed reasonable. "There will be more interest rate cuts next year, and many times," he said on Friday. "Although the central bank did not promise the specific interest rate trajectory in advance, it seems to be quite reassuring to predict the financial market". The interest rate swap market reflects a rate cut of about 120 basis points by the end of next year. According to informed sources, the European Central Bank plans to cut interest rates by 25 basis points in January next year, and may also cut interest rates once in March.Important figures of the South Korean police were detained, and Zhao Zhihao, director of the South Korean Police Department, and Kim Fung-sik, director of the Seoul Police Department, were detained on the evening of 13th. It is reported that the Seoul Central District Court said that Zhao Zhihao and Jin Fengzhi had the possibility of destroying evidence, so they issued detention orders. According to South Korean police investigation, the two men concealed the fact that they had met with President Yin Xiyue before martial law. South Korean police arrested Zhao Zhihao and Jin Fengzhi on suspicion of civil strife in the early morning of 11th. According to Korean law, after the police urgently arrest the suspect, if there is no detention order, they must release him within 48 hours.Government of Sri Lanka: The final result of the bond exchange is expected to be announced on December 16th.
The main contract of Shanghai Nickel fell by 2.00% in the day, and it is now reported at 126,700.00 yuan/ton.The foreign trade export liner of western land and sea new channel lighters made its maiden voyage. On December 13th, with the container liner Haifeng Guangxi carrying 32 tons of lighters from Shaodong enterprises in Hunan slowly leaving Qinzhou Automation Container Terminal in beibu gulf port, the foreign trade export train of (Hunan/Guizhou-Beibu Gulf Port-Jakarta) western land and sea new channel lighters made its maiden voyage successfully. (Zhongxin. com)Beijing issued a new policy to reduce the logistics cost of the whole society. The "Implementation Plan for Effectively Reducing the Logistics Cost of the Whole Society in Beijing" (hereinafter referred to as the "Plan") released on the 13th proposed that Beijing would improve its cargo transportation capacity and vigorously develop air freight. Strengthen the construction of Beijing airport-type national logistics hub, actively expand international routes, and constantly improve the aviation network layout of "all cargo aircraft+passenger aircraft belly cabin". The plan puts forward 16 measures around five key areas, such as improving cargo transportation capacity, improving logistics infrastructure network, improving urban distribution service, strengthening enterprise service and management, and promoting innovation-driven development. (Zhongxin. com)
Strategy guide
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide